我国居民收入、人口、教育、财政政策和货币政策与居民消费模型的实证分析

本文从影响消费的各个因素:居民收入、人口、教育、国家宏观政策等着手,对各因素进行了相关分析,运用多元统计中的岭回归估计法建立消费模型。从定量和定性分析的角度,分析了我国居民消费水平、居民收入、人口增长率、各层次教育、国家财政支出和银行利率等相关因素之间相互影响的数量变动关系和内在规律,就如何提高居民消费水平促进经济协调发展提出若干对策。     

广义拟变分不等式解集的稳定性及本质连通区的存在性

在赋范线性空间下．讨论广义拟变分不等式解集的稳定性，证明了满足一定连续性和凸性条件的广义拟变分不等式问题构成的空间M中，大多数(在Baire分类意义下)广义拟变分不等式问题的解集是稳定的，并证明了M中每一个广义拟变分不等式的解集至少存在一个本质连通区。     

A new algorithm for fixed design regression and denoising

In this paper, we present a new algorithm to estimate a regression function in a fixed design regression model, by piecewise (standard and trigonometric) polynomials computed with an automatic choice of the knots of the subdivision and of the degrees of the polynomials on each sub-interval. First we give the theoretical background underlying the method: the theoretical performances of our penalized least-squares estimator are based on non-asymptotic evaluations of a mean-square type risk. Then we explain how the algorithm is built and possibly accelerated (to face the case when the number of observations is great), how the penalty term is chosen and why it contains some constants requiring an empirical calibration. Lastly, a comparison with some well-known or recent wavelet methods is made: this brings out that our algorithm behaves in a very competitive way in term of denoising and of compression.     

Covariance estimation under spatial dependence

Correlated multivariate processes have a dependence structure which must be taken into account when estimating the covariance matrix. The natural estimator of the covariance matrix is introduced and is shown that to be biased under the dependence structure. This bias is studied under two different asymptotic models, namely increasing the domain by increasing the number of observations, and increasing the number of observations in the fixed domain. Using the first asymptotic model, we quantify the convergence rate of the bias and of the covariance between the components of the estimated covariance matrix. The second asymptotic model serves to derive a fast and accurate bias correction. As shown, under mild hypotheses, the asymptotic normality of the estimated covariance matrix holds and can be used to test whether the bias is significant, for example, in the sense that the eigenvectors of the estimated and true covariance matrices are significantly different.     

半参数回归模型估计的平均相合性

在误差序列为Lqmixingale情形下，给出了半参数回归模型中β和g(t)估计，研究了估计量的q阶平均相合性在较一般的条件下，得到了理想的结果     

半参数回归模型中小波估计的随机加权逼近速度

把小波光滑方法和随机加权方法结合在一起，获得了半参数回归模型中参数分量的小波估计的随机加权逼近速度为σ(n^-1/2)。因此，从大样本意义上说，小波光滑方法和随机加权方法对半参数回归模型是可用的。     

Making Use of Incomplete Observations for Regression in Bivariate Normal Model

Two estimates of the regression coefficient in bivariate normal distribution are considered: the usual one based on a sample and a new one making use of additional observations of one of the variables. They are compared with respect to variance. The same is done for two regression lines. The conclusion is that the additional observations are worth using only when the sample is very small.     

狄拉克方程的单旋量解法以及由此引起的认识上的差异

把狄拉克方程分解成了两个单旋量的联立方程组．指出现行的自旋理论仅考虑了其中的一个方程，是以一个单旋量代替双旋量来描述状态而建立起来的．笔者在认同现行自旋理论可以作为狄拉克方程的一种求解方法，因而同意其中的某些提法外，对于其主要的物理观念：微观粒子存在着独立于现实的位形空间之外的一个自旋空间，在这个自旋空间内禀着角动量S和磁矩μ；这个自旋理论是相对论性量子力学导出的必然结论等等看法予以否定．笔者认为，只有同时考虑两个单旋量的方程，同时计及两个单旋量，才能准确地描述状态，从而正确地描述客观规律．     

Information and asymptotic efficiency of the case-cohort sampling design in Cox's regression model

Efficiencies of the maximum pseudolikelihood estimator and a number of related estimators for the case-cohort sampling design in the proportional hazards regression model are studied. The asymptotic information and lower bound for estimating the parametric regression parameter are calculated based on the effective score, which is obtained by determining the component of the parametric score orthogonal to the space generated by the infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. The asymptotic distributions of the maximum pseudolikelihood and related estimators in an i.i.d. setting show that these estimators do not achieve the computed asymptotic lower bound. Simple guidelines are provided to determine in which instances such estimators are close enough to efficient for practical purposes.     

Analysis of blockwise shrinkage wavelet estimates via lower bounds for no-signal setting

A blockwise shrinkage is a popular procedure of adaptation that has allowed the statisticians to establish an impressive bouquet of asymptotic mathematical results and develop softwares for solving practical problems. Traditionally risks of the estimates are studied via upper bounds that imply sufficient conditions for a blockwise shrinkage procedure to be minimax. This article suggests to analyze the estimates via exact (non-asymptotic) lower bounds established for a no-signal setting. The approach complements the familiar minimax, Bayesian and numerical analysis, it allows to find necessary conditions for a procedure to attain desired rates, and it sheds a new light on popular choices of blocks and thresholds recommended in the literature. Mathematical results are complemented by a numerical study. Supported in part by NSF Grants DMS-9971051 and DMS-0243606.